Typhoon Ambo Projected Path and Tracking 2020: To Affect Eastern & Northern Samar Philippines

Here is the update from PAGASA for the projected path and tracking of the 2020 Typhoon Ambo as it enters the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR).
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TROPICAL STORM #AmboPH (VONGFONG)
TROPICAL CYCLONE: WARNING
ISSUED AT 8:00 AM, 16 May 2020
(Valid for broadcast until the next bulletin to be issued at 11 AM today)

“AMBO” MAINTAINS ITS STRENGTH AND IS NOW OVER THE COASTAL WATERS OF SANTA CRUZ, ILOCOS SUR.

Heavy Rainfall Outlook:
•Today: Moderate to heavy rains over Ilocos Region, Cordillera Administrative Region, Cagayan Valley and the northern portions of Aurora and Zambales.
•Tomorrow (17 May): Moderate to heavy rains over Batanes and Babuyan Islands
•Residents in these areas are advised to take appropriate measures, coordinate with local disaster risk reduction and management offices, and continue monitoring for updates, especially the local rainfall or thunderstorm advisories and heavy rainfall warnings from PAGASA Regional Services Divisions (PRSD). Flooding and rain-induced landslides may occur in highly to very highly susceptible areas during heavy or prolonged rainfall.

Coastal Water Conditions:
•Sea travel is risky for all types of seacrafts over the seaboards of areas under Tropical Cyclone Wind Signals #2 and #1 and the east coast of Quezon including Polillo Islands.
Other Information:
•”AMBO” is likely to exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility on Monday (18 May) afternoon.

Location of eye/center: At 7:00 AM today, the center of Tropical Storm “AMBO” was estimated based on all available data including those from Mt. Sto. Tomas (Benguet) Doppler Radar over the coastal waters of Santa Cruz, Ilocos Sur (17.0°N, 120.3°E).
Strength: Maximum sustained winds of up to 75 km/h near the center and gustiness of up to 125 km/h.
Movement: Moving North Northwestward at 20 km/h.

Forecast Positions
•24 Hour (Tomorrow morning): 105 km West Southwest of Basco, Batanes (20.0°N, 121.1°E)
•48 Hour (Monday morning):360 km Northeast of Basco, Batanes (23.1°N, 124.0°E)
•72 Hour (Tuesday morning): 1,465 km Northeast of Extreme Northern Luzon (OUTSIDE PAR) (30.0°N, 132.0°E)

TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNAL
TCWS #2 (61-120 km/h winds prevailing or expected in 24 hours)
Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur, La Union, the eastern portion of Pangasinan (Lingayen, San Carlos City, Basista, Malasiqui, Alcala, Sto. Tomas, Rosales, Balungao, Umingan, Binmaley, Calasiao, Sta. Barbara, Urdaneta City, Villasis, Sta. Maria, San Quintin, Dagupan City, Mangaldan, Mapandan, Manaoag, Laoac, Binalonan, Asingan, Tayug, Natividad, San Jacinto, Pozzorubio, San Fabian, Sison, San Manuel, San Nicolas), Apayao, Abra, Kalinga, Mountain Province, Ifugao, Benguet, Babuyan Islands, the northwestern portion of mainland Cagayan (Santa Praxedes, Claveria, Sanchez Mira, Pamplona, Abulug), Nueva Vizcaya, and the northern portion of Nueva Ecija (Carranglan, Lupao, San Jose City, Pantabangan).
Areas under TCWS #2 will experience strong to damaging gale-force winds during the passage of the tropical storm.

TCWS #1 (30-60 km/h winds prevailing or expected in 36 hours)
Batanes, the rest of Cagayan, Isabela, Quirino, Aurora, the rest of Nueva Ecija, Tarlac, the northern portion of Zambales (Santa Cruz, Candelaria, Masinloc, Palauig, and Iba), and the rest of Pangasinan
Areas under TCWS #1 will experience strong to near gale-force winds during the passage of the tropical storm.

The public and the disaster risk reduction and management council concerned are advised to take appropriate actions and watch for the next Severe Weather Bulletin to be issued at 11 AM today.

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FOR: TYPHOON “#AmboPH” (VONGFONG)
TROPICAL CYCLONE: WARNING
ISSUED AT 5:00 AM, 15 May 2020
(Valid for broadcast until the next bulletin to be issued at 8 AM today)

TYPHOON “AMBO” HAS MADE LANDFALL OVER BURIAS ISLAND AND CONTINUES TO WEAKEN.

Landfall Information:
• Past landfalls: San Policarpo, Eastern Samar (12:15 PM yesterday); Dalupiri Island, Northern Samar (10:15 PM yesterday); Capul Island, Northern Samar (10:30 PM yesterday); Ticao Island, Masbate (12:00 AM today); and Burias Island, Masbate (3:00 AM today).
• The typhoon is forecast to move towards the Ragay Gulf before making landfall over the Bondoc Peninsula in Southern Quezon this morning.

Heavy Rainfall Outlook:
• Today: Moderate to heavy with at times intense rains over Bicol Region, Quezon, Aurora, and Marinduque.
• Tomorrow (16 May): Moderate to heavy with at times intense rains over Cagayan Valley, Apayao, Kalinga, Mountain Province, Ifugao, Aurora, and the northern portion of Nueva Ecija.
• Residents in these areas are advised to take appropriate measures, coordinate with local disaster risk reduction and management offices, and continue monitoring for updates, especially the local rainfall or thunderstorm advisories and heavy rainfall warnings from PAGASA Regional Services Divisions (PRSD). Flooding and rain-induced landslides may occur in highly to very highly susceptible areas during heavy or prolonged rainfall.

Coastal Water Conditions and Storm Surge Information:
• In the next 24 hours, storm surge height of up to 2.0 meters may be experienced over the coastal areas of Bicol Region, Quezon, and Aurora which may result to potentially life-threatening coastal inundation.
• Sea travel is risky for all types of seacrafts over the seaboards of areas under TCWS.

Location of eye/center: At 4:00 AM today, the eye of Typhoon “AMBO” was located based on all available including those from Virac and Daet Doppler Radars in the vicinity of Claveria, Masbate (Burias Island) (12.9°N, 123.2°E).
Strength: Maximum sustained winds of up to 125 km/h near the center and gustiness of up to 165 km/h.
Movement: Moving Northwestward at 15 km/h.
Forecast Positions
• 24 Hour (Tomorrow morning): In the vicinity of Pantabangan, Nueva Ecija (15.8°N, 121.2°E)
• 48 Hour (Sunday morning): 45 km Northwest of Calayan, Cagayan (19.5°N, 121.1°E)
• 72 Hour (Monday morning): 225 km North Northeast of Basco, Batanes (22.2°N, 123.1°E)
• 96 Hour (Tuesday morning): 1,345 km Northeast of Extreme Northern Luzon (OUTSIDE PAR) (28.3°N, 132.1°E)

TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNAL
TCWS #3
(121-170 km/h winds prevailing or expected in 18 hours)

Sorsogon, Albay, Northern Masbate (Aroroy, Mandaon, Milagros, Baleno, Masbate City, Mobo, Uson) including Ticao and Burias Islands, Camarines Norte, the western portion of Camarines Sur (Del Gallego, Ragay, Lupi, Sipocot, Libmanan, Cabusao, Pasacao, Pamplona, Gainza, Camaligan, Canaman, Magarao, Bombon, Calabanga, Tinambac, Siruma, Goa, Naga City, Milaor, San Fernando, Minalabac, Pili, Ocampo, Tigaon, Sagñay, Buhi, Iriga City, Baao, Bula, Balatan, Nabua, Bato), and the southern portion of Quezon (Pagbilao, Atimonan, Padre Burgos, Agdangan, Plaridel, Unisan, Gumaca, Pitogo, Perez, Alabat, Quezon, Tagkawayan, Calauag, Lopez, Macalelon, General Luna, Catanauan, Buenavista, Guinayangan, Mulanay, San Narciso, San Andres, San Francisco)

• Heavy damage to high–risk structures;
• Moderate damage to medium-risk structures;
• Light damage to low risk structures
• Increasing damage (up to more than 50%) to old, dilapidated residential structures and houses of light materials. Majority of all nipa and cogon houses may be unroofed or destroyed
• Houses of medium strength materials (old, timber or mixed timber-CHB structures, usually with G.I. roofing’s); some warehouses or bodega-type structures are unroofed.
• There may be widespread disruption of electrical power and communication services.
• Almost all banana plants are downed.
• Some big trees (acacia, mango, etc.) are broken or uprooted.
• Dwarf-type or hybrid coconut trees are tilted or downed.
• Rice and corn crops may suffer heavy losses.
• Damage to shrubbery and trees with foliage blown off; some large trees blown down.

Areas under TCWS #3 will experience strong to destructive typhoon-force winds during the passage of the typhoon.

TCWS #2
(61-120 km/h winds prevailing or expected in 24 hours)
Nueva Vizcaya, Quirino, Aurora, Nueva Ecija, Tarlac, Pampanga, Bulacan, Metro Manila, Rizal, Laguna, Cavite, Batangas, the rest of Quezon, the rest of Masbate, the rest of Camarines Sur, Catanduanes, and the eastern portion of Romblon (Banton, Corcuera, Calatrava, San Agustin, Romblon, Magdiwang, San Fernando, Cajidiocan) The western portion of Northern Samar (San Vicente, Capul, San Antonio, Allen, Victoria, San Isidro, Biri, Lavezares, Rosario, San Jose)

• Light to Moderate damage to high risk structures;
• Very light to light damage to medium-risk structures;
• No damage to very light damage to low risk structures
• Some old galvanized iron (G.I.) roofs may be peeled or blown off.
• Some wooden, old electric posts are tilted or downed.
• Some damage to poorly constructed signs/billboards
• Most banana plants, a few mango trees, ipil-ipil and similar types of trees are downed or broken.
• Some coconut trees may be tilted with few others broken.
• Rice and corn may be adversely affected.
• Considerable damage to shrubbery and trees with some heavy-foliaged trees blown down.

Areas under TCWS #2 will experience strong to damaging gale/storm-force winds during the passage of the typhoon.

TCWS #1
(30-60 km/h winds prevailing or expected in 36 hours)

Cagayan including Babuyan Islands, Isabela, Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur, La Union, Pangasinan, Apayao, Kalinga, Abra, Mountain Province, Ifugao, Benguet, Zambales, Bataan, Oriental Mindoro, and the rest of Romblon. The rest of Northern Samar, the extreme northern portion of Eastern Samar (Jipapad, Arteche, Maslog), the northern portion of Samar (Calbayog City, Tagapul-an, Almagro, Sto. Niño. Tarangnan, Sta. Margarita, Gandara, Pagsanghan, San Jorge, San Jose de Buan, Matuguinao), Biliran, the extreme northwestern portion of Leyte (Calubian, San Isidro), the extreme northeastern portion of Capiz (Pilar, Panay, Roxas, Ivisan), and the northeastern portion of Iloilo (Carles, Balasan, Estancia, Batad)

• Very light or no damage to low risk structures,
• Light damage to medium to high risk structures
• Some banana plants are tilted, a few downed and leaves are generally damaged
• Twigs of small trees may be broken.
• Rice crops, however, may suffer significant damage when it is in its flowering stage.

Areas under TCWS #1 will experience strong to near gale-force winds during the passage of the typhoon.

The public and the disaster risk reduction and management council concerned are advised to take appropriate actions and watch for the next Severe Weather Bulletin to be issued at 8 AM today.

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FOR: TYPHOON “AMBO” (VONGFONG)
TROPICAL CYCLONE: WARNING
ISSUED AT 11:00 AM, 14 May 2020
(Valid for broadcast until the next bulletin to be issued at 2 PM today)

“AMBO” MAINTAINS ITS STRENGTH AS IT ENDANGERS THE EASTERN SAMAR-NORTHERN SAMAR AREA.

Heavy Rainfall Outlook:
•Today (14 May): Heavy to intense with at times torrential rains over Samar Provinces, Masbate, Sorsogon, and Catanduanes. Moderate to heavy with at times intense rains over Albay, Camarines Sur, and the rest of Eastern Visayas.
•Tomorrow (15 May): Heavy to intense with at times torrential rains over Bicol Region. Moderate to heavy with at times intense rains over Northern Samar, Quezon, Aurora, Marinduque, and Romblon.
•Residents in these areas are advised to take appropriate measures, coordinate with local disaster risk reduction and management offices, and continue monitoring for updates, especially the local rainfall or thunderstorm advisories and heavy rainfall warnings from PAGASA Regional Services Divisions (PRSD). Flooding and rain-induced landslides may occur in highly to very highly susceptible areas during heavy or prolonged rainfall.

Coastal Water Conditions and Storm Surge Information:
•Within 24 hours, storm surge of 2.0 to 4.0 meters may be experienced over the coastal areas of Northern Samar, Eastern Samar (east coast), Samar (west coast), Sorsogon, Albay, Catanduanes, Camarines Sur, Camarines Norte, Quezon, and Aurora. Along with large swells, this storm surge may cause potentially life-threatening coastal inundation.
• Sea travel is risky for all types of seacrafts over the seaboards of areas under TCWS.

Landfall Information:
•The typhoon is forecast to make landfall over Northern Samar or the northern portion of Eastern Samar between 12:00 PM and 2:00 PM today, before heading towards Sorsogon later tonight. Violent winds and heavy to torrential rains of the eyewall region will begin affecting Northern Samar and the northern portions of Samar and Eastern Samar within 12 hours.

Location of eye/center: At 10:00 AM today, the eye of Typhoon “AMBO” was located based on all available data including those from Guiuan Doppler Radar at 140 km East Southeast of Catarman, Northern Samar(12.2°N, 125.9°E).
Strength: Maximum sustained winds of up to 150 km/h near the center and gustiness of up to 190 km/h.
Movement: Moving West at 15 km/h.

Forecast Positions
•24 Hour (Tomorrow morning): 55 km South Southwest of Daet, Camarines Norte (13.7°N, 122.7°E)
•48 Hour (Saturday morning):In the vicinity of Licuan-Baay, Abra (17.6°N, 120.9°E)
•72 Hour (Sunday morning): 30 km North of Basco, Batanes (20.7°N, 122.0°E)
•96 Hour (Monday morning):740 km Northeast of Basco, Batanes (24.5°N, 127.7°E)
•120 Hour (Tuesday morning):1,890 km Northeast of Basco, Batanes (OUTSIDE PAR) (30.7°N, 137.0°E)

TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNAL
TCWS #3 (121-170 km/h winds prevailing or expected in 18 hours)
Sorsogon, Albay, and Ticao Island Northern Samar, the northern portion of Eastern Samar (Jipapad, Arteche, Maslog, Dolores, Oras, San Policarpio, Can-avid, Taft, Sulat, San Julian, Borongan City, Maydolong), and the northern portion of Samar (Calbayog City, Sta. Margarita, Gandara, Pagsanghan, San Jorge, Matuguinao, San Jose de Buan, Catbalogan, Jiabong, Motiong, Paranas, Tarangnan, San Sebastian, Hinabangan)
Areas under TCWS #3 will experience strong to destructive typhoon-force winds during the passage of the typhoon.

TCWS #2 (61-120 km/h winds prevailing or expected in 24 hours)
The southern portion of Quezon (Pagbilao, Atimonan, Padre Burgos, Plaridel, Agdangan, Unisan, Gumaca, Pitogo, Macalelon, Lopez, Caluag, General Luna, Catanauan, Perez, Alabat, Quezon, Tagkawayan, Guinayangan, Buenavista, San Narciso, Mulanay, San Andres, San Francisco), Camarines Norte, Camarines Sur, Catanduanes,
Burias Island, mainland Masbate, and Marinduque
Biliran, the rest of Samar, and the rest of Eastern Samar
Areas under TCWS #2 will experience strong to damaging gale/storm-force winds during the passage of the typhoon.

TCWS #1 (30-60 km/h winds prevailing or expected in 36 hours)
Aurora, the southern portion of Nueva Ecija (General Mamerto Natividad, Palayan City, Cabanatuan, Santa Rosa, Jaen, San Isidro, San Antonio, Cabiao, Bongabon, Gabaldon, General Tinio, Laur, San Leonardo, Peñaranda, Gapan City), Bulacan, Metro Manila, Cavite, Laguna, Batangas, Rizal, the rest of Quezon, Romblon, Bataan, and Pampanga The northern portion of Leyte (Calubian, San Isidro, Tabango, Villaba, Leyte, Kananga, Capoocan, Carigara, Barugo, San Miguel, Babatngon, Tunga, Jaro, Alangalang, Sta. Fe, Tacloban City, Palo, Pastrana, Dagami, Tabontabon, Tanauan, Tolosa, Ormoc City, Matag-ob, Palompon, Merida, Isabel, Albuera, Burauen, Julita, Dulag)
Areas under TCWS #1 will experience strong to near gale-force winds during the passage of the typhoon.

The public and the disaster risk reduction and management council concerned are advised to take appropriate actions and watch for the next Severe Weather Bulletin to be issued at 2 PM today.
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