Typhoon Tisoy Projected Path and Tracking 2019: To Affect Bicol Region & Eastern Visayas Philippines

Here is the update from PAGASA of the 2019 Typhoon Tisoy as it enters the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR).

SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN #25
FOR: TROPICAL STORM “#TisoyPH” (KAMMURI)
TROPICAL CYCLONE: ALERT
ISSUED AT 11:00 PM, 04 December 2019
(Valid for broadcast until the next bulletin to be issued at 11 AM tomorrow)

“TISOY” WEAKENS INTO A TROPICAL STORM AS IT CONTINUES TO ENCOUNTER THE NORTHEAST MONSOON SURGE OVER THE WEST PHILIPPINE SEA.

• Heavy rainfall outlook for today: Tropical Storm TISOY is no longer directly affecting the country. However, heavy rains may still be experienced over most of Northern Luzon and Aurora due to the Northeast Monsoon surge. This rainfall may trigger flooding and landslides in highly to very highly susceptible areas. For more information, please see the Weather Advisory #1 on the Northeast Monsoon issued at 11:00 PM today.
Other Hazards and Information
• Sea travel is risky, especially for small seacrafts, over the seaboards of Northern and Central Luzon, and the eastern and western seaboards of Southern Luzon due to rough seas.
• Gusty conditions associated with the Northeast Monsoon may also be experienced in the northern portions of Northern Luzon, especially in the coastal and mountainous areas.
• “TISOY” is forecast to exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility tomorrow morning and is likely to weaken into a Low Pressure Area within 24 hours.

Location of eye/center: At 10:00 PM today, the center of Tropical Storm “TISOY” was estimated based on all available data at 420 km West of Subic, Zambales (14.5°N, 116.4°E).
Strength: Maximum sustained winds of up to 75 km/h near the center and gustiness of up to 90 km/h.
Movement: Moving West at 10 km/h.

Forecast Positions
• 24 Hour (Tomorrow evening): 790 km West of Calapan City, Oriental Mindoro (OUTSIDE PAR) (13.8°N, 113.9°E)

NO TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNAL

The public and the disaster risk reduction and management council concerned are advised to take appropriate actions and watch for the next update to be incorporated in the 4 AM Public Weather Forecast and in the next Severe Weather Bulletin to be issued at 11 AM tomorrow or earlier.

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Below is a previous weather update:

SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN #16
FOR: TYPHOON “#TisoyPH” (KAMMURI)
TROPICAL CYCLONE: WARNING
ISSUED AT 5:00 AM, 03 December 2019
(Valid for broadcast until the next bulletin to be issued at 8 AM today)

TYPHOON “TISOY” SLIGHTLY WEAKENS AND IS NOW OVER BURIAS ISLAND.

• The eyewall of “TISOY” is currently bringing violent winds and intense rainfall over Camarines Norte, Camarines Sur, Albay, and Masbate. This eyewall is forecast to affect Southern Quezon, Romblon and Marinduque in the next 3 hours.
Heavy Rainfall Outlook
• Between early morning and late afternoon today: Frequent to continuous heavy to intense (with isolated torrential) rains over Bicol Region, Romblon, Marinduque, Mindoro Provinces, CALABARZON, Metro Manila, Bataan, Pampanga and Bulacan. Occasional to frequent heavy rains over the rest of Central Luzon. Intermittent heavy rains over Samar Provinces, Biliran, Aklan, Antique, Capiz, Iloilo, Guimaras, and the northern portions of Negros Provinces and Cebu.
• Between late afternoon today and tomorrow early morning: Frequent to continuous heavy (with isolated intense) rains over Mindoro Provinces, Metro Manila, Central Luzon, Rizal, and Northern Quezon including Polillo Islands. Occasional heavy rains over Cagayan Valley, Cordillera Administrative Region, Marinduque, Romblon and the rest of CALABARZON. Intermittent heavy rains over Bicol Region and Calamian Islands.
• Residents in the aforementioned areas, especially those living in areas identified to be highly or very highly susceptible to flooding and rain-induced landslides, are advised to take appropriate actions, coordinate with local disaster risk reduction and management offices, and continue monitoring for updates, especially the Thunderstorm or Rainfall Advisories and Heavy Rainfall Warnings to be issued by PAGASA Regional Services Divisions.
Other Hazards and Information
• Forecast storm surge: 2-3 meters over several coastal areas in Batangas, Mindoro Provinces, Marinduque, Romblon, Ticao and Burias Islands, and the southern coast of Southern Quezon; 1-2 meters over Camarines Norte, northern coast of Southern Quezon, Cavite, Metro Manila, Bulacan, Pampanga, Bataan, and Zambales (Subic Bay coastal areas). For more information, refer to Storm Surge Warning #7 issued at 5 AM today.
• Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal over Dinagat Islands and Siargao Island is now lifted.
• Sea travel is risky over the seaboards of areas under TCWS, the seaboards of Northern Luzon, the western seaboard of Palawan, and the northern and eastern seaboards of Mindanao due to prevailing or forecast rough sea conditions which may be perilous for maritime activities, especially for those using small seacrafts.
• Gusty conditions may also be experienced in areas in Northern Luzon that are not under any TCWS (especially in the coastal and mountainous zones) due to the Northeast Monsoon.

Location of eye/center: At 4:00 AM today, the eye of Typhoon “TISOY” was located based on all available data at in the vicinity of San Pascual, Masbate (Burias Island) (13.0°N, 123.1°E).
Strength: Maximum sustained winds of up to 155 km/h near the center and gustiness of up to 235 km/h.
Movement: Moving West at 20 km/h.

Forecast Positions:
• 24 Hour (Tomorrow morning): 165 km Southwest of Subic, Zambales (13.9°N, 119.1°E)
• 48 Hour (Thursday morning): 515 km West of Subic, Zambales (14.9°N, 115.5°E)
• 72 Hour (Friday morning): 800 km West of Coron, Palawan (OUTSIDE PAR) (13.0°N, 112.9°E)

TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNAL
TCWS #3 (121-170 km/h winds prevailing or expected in 18 hours)
Catanduanes, Camarines Sur, Albay, Sorsogon, Camarines Norte, Masbate including Ticao and Burias Islands, Romblon, southern portion of Quezon (Perez, Alabat, Quezon, Mauban, Sampaloc, Lucban, Tayabas, Pagbilao, Lucena, Sariaya, Candelaria, Dolores, Tiaong, San Antonio, Atimonan, Padre Burgos, Agdangan, Plaridel, Unisan, Pitogo, Gumaca, Lopez, Macalelon, General Luna, Calauag, Guinayangan, Tagkawayan, Buenavista, Mulanay, San Narciso, San Francisco, San Andres), Marinduque, Oriental Mindoro, Occidental Mindoro including Lubang Island, Batangas, Cavite, and Laguna

TCWS #2 (61-120 km/h winds prevailing or expected in 24 hours)
Metro Manila, Bulacan, Bataan, Tarlac, Pampanga, Nueva Ecija, southern Aurora (Dipaculao, Maria Aurora, Baler, San Luis, Dingalan), Rizal, rest of Quezon including Polillo Islands, Calamian Islands (Coron, Busuanga, Culion, Linapacan), Cuyo Islands (Cuyo, Magsaysay, Agutaya), Zambales, and Pangasinan Northern Samar, Eastern Samar, Samar, Biliran, Aklan, Capiz, Antique, Iloilo, Guimaras, northern portion of Negros Occidental (Talisay, Calatrava, Silay, Enrique B. Magalona, Victorias, Manapla, Cadiz, Sagay, Escalante, Toboso, Bacolod, Murcia, Salvador Benedicto, San Carlos, Bago, Pulupandan, Valladolid, La Carlota, San Enrique, Pontevedra, La Castellana, Moises Padilla), Northern Cebu (Daanbantayan, Bantayan, Madridejos, Santa Fe, Medellin, Bogo City, San Remigio, Tabogon, Tabuelan, Tuburan, Carmen Borbon, Sogod, Catmon, Asturias, and Camotes Islands), and Leyte

TCWS #1 (30-60 km/h winds prevailing or expected in 36 hours)
Southern Isabela (Palanan, Dinapigue, San Mariano, San Guillermo, Benito Soliven, Naguilian, Reina Mercedes, Luna, Aurora, Cabatuan, San Mateo, Cauayan City, Alicia, Angadanan, Ramon, San Isidro, Echague, Cordon, Santiago City, Jones and San Agustin), Mountain Province, Ifugao, Benguet, Nueva Vizcaya, Ilocos Sur, La Union, Quirino, rest of Aurora, northern portion of Palawan (El Nido, Taytay, Araceli, Dumaran, San Vicente, Roxas) Rest of Negros Occidental, Negros Oriental, Bohol, Siquijor, rest of Cebu, and Southern Leyte

The public and the disaster risk reduction and management council concerned are advised to take appropriate actions and watch for the next Severe Weather Bulletin to be issued at 8 AM today.

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Below are previous updates!
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SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN #13
FOR: TYPHOON “#TisoyPH” (KAMMURI)
TROPICAL CYCLONE: WARNING
ISSUED AT 8:00 PM, 02 December 2019
(Valid for broadcast until the next bulletin to be issued at 11 PM today)

TYPHOON “TISOY” FURTHER INTENSIFIES AND IS ABOUT TO MAKE LANDFALL OVER SORSOGON.

• The eyewall of Typhoon “TISOY” is now bringing violent winds over Northern Samar, Catanduanes, Albay, Camarines Sur, and Sorsogon.
• “TISOY” is expected to make landfall over Sorsogon in the next 3 hours.
Heavy Rainfall Outlook
• Between tonight and tomorrow morning: Frequent to continuous heavy to intense rains over Bicol Region, Northern Samar, Southern Quezon, Marinduque, and Romblon. Frequent to continuous heavy rains over Samar, Eastern Samar, Rizal, rest of Quezon, Laguna, and Oriental Mindoro. Moderate to intermittent heavy rains over Metro Manila, Occidental Mindoro, rest of CALABARZON, Cagayan, Isabela, Aurora, and the rest of Eastern Visayas.
• Between tomorrow morning and evening: Frequent to continuous heavy to intense rains over CALABARZON, Central Luzon, Metro Manila, Mindoro Provinces, Marinduque, and Romblon. Occasional to frequent heavy rains over Cagayan Valley, Cordillera Administrative Region, and Calamian Islands. Intermittent heavy rains over Aklan ,Capiz, and northern Antique.
• Residents in the aforementioned areas, especially those living in areas identified to be highly or very highly susceptible to flooding and rain-induced landslides, are advised to take appropriate actions, coordinate with local disaster risk reduction and management offices, and continue monitoring for updates, especially the Thunderstorm or Rainfall Advisories and Heavy Rainfall Warnings to be issued by PAGASA Regional Services Divisions.
Other Hazards and Information
• Possible Storm Surge height in surge prone areas: more than 3.0 meters over several coastal areas in Catanduanes, Camarines Norte, and Camarines Sur; up to 3 meters over several coastal areas in Batangas, Quezon, Albay, and Marinduque. For more information, refer to Storm Surge Warning #4” issued at 5 PM today.
• Sea travel is risky over the seaboards of areas under TCWS, the seaboards of Northern Luzon, the western seaboard of Palawan, central seaboards of Visayas, and the northern and eastern seaboards of Mindanao due to prevailing or forecast rough sea conditions which may be perilous for maritime activities, especially for those using small seacrafts.
• Gusty conditions may also be experienced in areas in Northern Luzon that are not under any TCWS (especially in the coastal and mountainous zones) due to the Northeast Monsoon.

Location of eye/center: At 7:00 PM today, the eye of Typhoon “TISOY” was located based on all available data including Virac Doppler Radar at 90 km East of Juban, Sorsogon (12.9°N, 124.8°E).
Strength: Maximum sustained winds of up to 165 km/h near the center and gustiness of up to 230 km/h.
Movement: Moving West at 20 km/h.

Forecast Positions:
• 24 Hour (Tomorrow afternoon): In the vicinity of Abra De Ilog, Abra de Ilog (13.4°N, 120.7°E)
• 48 Hour (Wednesday afternoon):345 km West of Iba, Zambales (14.8°N, 116.8°E)
• 72 Hour (Thursday afternoon): 640 km West of Coron, Palawan (OUTSIDE PAR) (12.9°N, 114.4°E)
• 96 Hour (Friday afternoon):700 km West of Coron, Palawan (OUTSIDE PAR) (10.8°N, 113.9°E)

TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNAL
TCWS #3 (121-170 km/h winds prevailing or expected in 18 hours)
Catanduanes, Camarines Sur, Albay, Sorsogon, Camarines Norte, Masbate including Ticao and Burias Islands, Romblon, and southern portion of Quezon (Perez, Alabat, Quezon, Mauban, Sampaloc, Lucban, Tayabas, Pagbilao, Lucena, Sariaya, Candelaria, Dolores, Tiaong, San Antonio, Atimonan, Padre Burgos, Agdangan, Plaridel, Unisan, Pitogo, Gumaca, Lopez, Macalelon, General Luna, Calauag, Guinayangan, Tagkawayan, Buenavista, Mulanay, San Narciso, San Francisco, San Andres), Marinduque, Oriental Mindoro, southern portion of Batangas (San Juan, Padre Garcia, Ibaan, Batangas City, Rosario, Taysan, Lobo), Northern Samar, northern portion of Eastern Samar (Can-avid, Dolores, Maslog, Oras, Arteche, Jipapad, San Policarpio), and northern portion of Samar (Catbalogan, Jiabong, Motiong, Paranas, San Jose de Buan, San Jorge, Pagsanghan, Tarangnan, Sta. Margarita, Gandara, Matuguinao, Calbayog, Tagapul-an, Almagro, Sto. Niño)

TCWS #2 (61-120 km/h winds prevailing or expected in 24 hours)
Metro Manila, Bulacan, Bataan, Tarlac, Pampanga, Nueva Ecija, southern Aurora (Dipaculao, Maria Aurora, Baler, San Luis, Dingalan), Cavite, rest of Batangas, Laguna, Rizal, rest of Quezon including Polillo Islands, Occidental Mindoro, Calamian Islands, Zambales, Cuyo Islands, Pangasinan Rest of Eastern Samar, rest of Samar, Biliran, Aklan, Capiz, Antique, Iloilo, northern portion of Negros Occidental ( Talisay, Calatrava, Silay, Enrique B. Magalona, Victorias, Manapla, Cadiz, Sagay, Escalante, Toboso, Bacolod, Murcia, Salvador Benedicto, San Carlos, Bago, Pulupandan, Valladolid, La Carlota, San Enrique, Pontevedra, La Castellana, Moises Padilla), Northern Cebu (Daanbantayan, Bantayan, Madridejos, Santa Fe, Medellin, Bogo City, San Remigio, Tabogon, Tabuelan, Tuburan, Carmen Borbon, Sogod, Catmon, Asturias, and Camotes Islands), northern portion of Leyte ( Baybay, Mahaplag, Abuyog, Javier, Macarthur, Mayorga, La Paz, Dulag, Albuera, barauen, Julita, Tolosa, Tanauan, Tabontabon, Dagami, Pastrana, Palo, Sta. Fe, Tacloban, Alangalang, Jaro, Babatngon, San Miguel, Barugo, Tunga, Carigara, Capoocan, Leyte, Calubian, San Isidro, Tabango, Villaba, Kananga, Matag-ob, Palompon, Isabel, Merida, Ormoc), and Guimaras

TCWS #1 (30-60 km/h winds prevailing or expected in 36 hours)
Southern Isabela (Palanan, Dinapigue, San Mariano, San Guillermo, Benito Soliven, Naguilian, Reina Mercedes, Luna, Aurora, Cabatuan, San Mateo, Cauayan City, Alicia, Angadanan, Ramon, San Isidro, Echague, Cordon, Santiago City, Jones and San Agustin), Mountain Province, Ifugao, Benguet, Nueva Vizcaya, Ilocos Sur, La Union, Quirino, rest of Aurora, northern portion of Palawan (Taytay, Araceli, Dumaran, San Vicente, Roxas) Rest of Negros Occidental, Negros Oriental, Bohol, Siquijor, rest of Cebu, rest Leyte, and Southern Leyte Dinagat Islands and Siargao Island

The public and the disaster risk reduction and management council concerned are advised to take appropriate actions and watch for the next Severe Weather Bulletin to be issued at 11 PM today.

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FOR: TYPHOON “#TisoyPH” (KAMMURI)
TROPICAL CYCLONE: WARNING
ISSUED AT 11:00 PM, 01 December 2019
(Valid for broadcast until the next bulletin to be issued at 2 AM tomorrow)

TYPHOON “TISOY” CONTINUES TO MOVE WESTWARD TOWARDS THE BICOL PENINSULA.

Heavy Rainfall Outlook
• Tonight until tomorrow afternoon: Intermittent to occasional heavy rains over Bicol Region, Eastern Visayas and Northern Cebu.
• Tomorrow afternoon until Tuesday noon: Frequent to continuous heavy to intense rains over Bicol Region, southern Quezon, and Marinduque. Occasional heavy rains over Northern Samar, Romblon, Batangas, Mindoro Provinces, and the rest of Quezon. Intermittent heavy rains over Samar Provinces, Biliran, Leyte, and the eastern portions of Cagayan and Isabela.
• Through the rest of Tuesday and on to Wednesday morning: Frequent to continuous heavy to intense rains over Central Luzon, Metro Manila, CALABARZON, Bicol Region, Mindoro Provinces, Marinduque and Romblon. Intermittent to occasional heavy rains over Cordillera Administrative Region, Cagayan Valley, Pangasinan, Aklan, Capiz and northern Antique.
• Residents in the aforementioned areas, especially those living in areas identified to be highly or very highly susceptible to flooding and rain-induced landslides, are advised to take appropriate actions, coordinate with local disaster risk reduction and management offices, and continue monitoring for updates, especially the Thunderstorm or Rainfall Advisories and Heavy Rainfall Warnings to be issued by PAGASA Regional Services Divisions.
Other Hazards and Information
• There is a threat of life-threatening storm surge with height of up to 3 meters in storm surge prone areas of Camarines Sur, Quezon, and Samar. For more information, refer to “Storm Surge Warning #1” issued at 11:00 PM today.
• Sea travel is risky over the seaboards of areas under TCWS, the seaboards of Northern Luzon, the central and eastern seaboards of Visayas, and the eastern seaboard of Mindanao due to prevailing or forecast rough sea conditions which may be perilous for maritime activities, especially for those using small seacrafts.
• Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal #1 may be raised over Ilocos Sur, La Union and Pangasinan in the next bulletin.
• “TISOY” is forecast to make landfall over Catanduanes or Albay between tomorrow evening (02 December) and Tuesday (03 December) early morning.

Location of eye/center At 10:00 PM today, the center of Typhoon “TISOY” was located based on all available data at 500 km East of Virac, Catanduanes (13.1°N, 128.8°E).
Strength Maximum sustained winds of up to 140 km/h near the center and gustiness of up to 170 km/h.
Movement Moving West at 20 km/h.

Forecast Positions
• 24 Hour (Tomorrow evening): 95 km East of Virac, Catanduanes (13.7°N, 125.1°E)
• 48 Hour (Tuesday evening): 70 km South Southwest of Sangley Point, Cavite or 75 km Northwest of Calapan City, Oriental Mindoro (13.9°N, 120.7°E)
• 72 Hour (Wednesday evening): 340 km West of Iba, Zambales (15.1°N, 116.8°E)
• 96 Hour (Thursday evening): 690 km West of Calapan City, Oriental Mindoro (OUTSIDE PAR) (13.7°N, 114.8°E)
• 120 Hour (Friday evening): 580 km West of Puerto Princesa City, Palawan or 95 km Southwest of Kalayaan, Palawan (OUTSIDE PAR) (10.4°N, 113.5°E)

TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNAL
TCWS #2 (61-120 km/h winds prevailing or expected in 24 hours)
Southern Quezon (Tagkawayan, Calauag, Guinayangan, Lopez, Buenvista, Catanauan, Mulanay, San Narciso, San Andres and San Francisco), Masbate including Ticao and Burias islands, Camarines Norte, Camarines Sur, Catanduanes, Albay, and Sorsogon, Northern Samar, Eastern Samar, Samar, and Biliran

TCWS # 1 (30-60 km/h winds prevailing or expected in 36 hours)
Southern Isabela (Palanan, Dinapique, San Mariano, San Guillermo, Benito Soliven, Naguilian, Reina Mercedes, Luna, Aurora, Cabatuan, San Mateo, Cauayan City, Alicia, Angadanan, Ramon, San Isidro, Echague, Cordon, Santiago City, Jones and San Agustin), Mountain Province, Ifugao, Benguet, Nueva Vizcaya, Quirino, Aurora, Nueva Ecija, Tarlac, Pampanga, Bulacan, Zambales, Bataan, Metro Manila, Rizal, Laguna, Cavite, Batangas, the rest of Quezon including Polillo Islands, Oriental Mindoro, Occidental Mindoro, Marinduque, Romblon, and Calamian Islands, Aklan, Capiz, Antique, Iloilo, Guimaras, northern portion of Negros Occidental (Bacolod City, Bago City, Cadiz City, Calatrava, Enrique B. Magalona, Escalante City, La Carlota City, Manapla, Murcia, Pulupandan, Sagay City, Salvador Benedicto, San Carlos City, San Enrique, Silay City, Talisay City, Toboso, Valladolid, Victorias City), Northern Cebu (Daanbantayan, Bantayan, Madridejos, Santa Fe, Medellin, Bogo City, San Remigio, Tabogon, Tabuelan, Borbon, Sogod, Catmon, and Asturias), Metro Cebu (Balamban, Toledo City, Pinamungahan, Aloguinsan, Naga City, Talisay City, Cordova, Minglanilla, Lapu-Lapu City, Mandaue City, Cebu City, Consolacion, Liloan, Compostela, and Danao City), Leyte, and Southern Leyte, Dinagat Islands and Siargao Island

The public and the disaster risk reduction and management council concerned are advised to take appropriate actions and watch for the next Severe Weather Bulletin to be issued at 2 AM tomorrow.