Typhoon/Tropical Depression Samuel Projected Path and Tracking 2018: Heading to Central Philippines (Update)

Here is the update of Tropical Depression Samuel as it maintains its direction moving towards central Philippines. Here is the latest announcement issued by PAGASA.

SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN #14
FOR: TROPICAL DEPRESSION “SAMUEL”
TROPICAL CYCLONE: WARNING

ISSUED AT:11:00 PM, 20 November 2018

TROPICAL DEPRESSION “SAMUEL” IS ABOUT TO MAKE LANDFALL OVER SOUTHERN PORTION OF EASTERN SAMAR.

• “SAMUEL” is expected to make landfall over the southern portion of Eastern Samar between 12:00 AM and 2:00 AM tomorrow.
• Moderate to heavy rains which may trigger flooding and landslides is expected over Visayas, Bicol Region, MIMAROPA, and southern Quezon. Residents of these areas, especially those living near or in river channels, low-lying and mountainous areas, are advised to take appropriate measures, coordinate with local disaster risk reduction and management offices, and continue monitoring for updates.
• Fisherfolks and those with small seacrafts are advised not to venture out over the areas under TCWS #1, as well as the northern and eastern seaboards of Luzon.

Location of eye/center At 10:00 PM today, the center of Tropical Depression “SAMUEL” was estimated based on all available data at 90 km East Northeast of Guiuan, Eastern Samar (11.3 °N, 126.5 °E)
Strength Maximum winds of up to 55 km/h near the center and gustiness of up to 65 km/h.
Movement Moving Northwest at 15 km/h
Forecast Positions

• 24 Hour(Tomorrow evening): 80 km West Southwest of Cuyo, Palawan(10.6°N, 120.3°E)
• 48 Hour(Thursday evening):380 km West Northwest of Puerto Princesa City, Palawan(11.0°N, 115.5°E)
• 72 Hour(Friday evening): 750 km West of Puerto Princesa City, Palawan (OUTSIDE PAR)(10.9°N, 112.0°E)

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING SIGNAL Areas
TCWS#1 (30-60kph expected in 36 hrs)

Masbate including Ticao Island, Romblon, southern Oriental Mindoro, southern Occidental Mindoro, Palawan including Cuyo Island and Calamian Group of Islands, Northern Samar, Eastern Samar, Samar, Biliran, Leyte, Southern Leyte, Bohol, Cebu, Siquijor, Negros Oriental, Negros Occidental, Guimaras, Iloilo, Capiz, Aklan, Antique, Dinagat Islands, Surigao del Norte, Surigao del Sur, Agusan del Norte, Agusan del Sur, Misamis Oriental, and Camiguin

The public and the disaster risk reduction and management council concerned are advised to take appropriate actions and watch for the next Severe Weather Bulletin to be issued at 2 AM tomorrow.

Image credit: PAG-ASA

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Below are previous bulletins.
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SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN #13
FOR: TROPICAL DEPRESSION “#SamuelPH
TROPICAL CYCLONE: WARNING

ISSUED AT 8:00 PM, 20 November 2018

TROPICAL DEPRESSION “SAMUEL” HAS SLIGHTLY SLOWED DOWN AS IT CONTINUES TO APPROACH THE LEYTE GULF AREA.

• Moderate to heavy rains which may trigger flooding and landslides is expected over Visayas, Bicol Region, MIMAROPA, southern Quezon and Dinagat Islands. Residents of these areas, especially those living near or in river channels, low-lying and mountainous areas, are advised to take appropriate measures, coordinate with local disaster risk reduction and management offices, and continue monitoring for updates.
• Fisherfolks and those with small seacrafts are advised not to venture out over the areas under TCWS #1, as well as the northern and eastern seaboards of Luzon.
• “SAMUEL” is expected to make landfall in the area between the southern portion of Eastern Samar and Dinagat Islands tonight.

Location of eye/center At 7:00 PM today, the center of Tropical Depression “SAMUEL” was estimated based on all available data at 135 km East Southeast of Guiuan, Eastern Samar (10.6°N, 126.9°E).
Strength Maximum winds of up to 55 km/h near the center and gustiness of up to 65 km/h.
Movement Moving West Northwest at 15 km/h.
Forecast Positions

• 24 Hour (Tomorrow afternoon): 50 km Southwest of Cuyo, Palawan (10.5°N, 120.7°E)
• 48 Hour (Thursday afternoon): 385 km West Northwest of Puerto Princesa City, Palawan (10.8°N, 115.4°E)
• 72 Hour (Friday afternoon): 805 km West of Puerto Princesa City, Palawan (OUTSIDE PAR) (11.0°N, 111.5°E)

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING SIGNAL Areas
TCWS#1 (30-60kph expected in 36 hrs)

Masbate including Ticao Island, Romblon, southern Oriental Mindoro, southern Occidental Mindoro, and Palawan including Cuyo Island and Calamian Group of Islands
Northern Samar, Eastern Samar, Samar, Biliran, Leyte, Southern Leyte, Bohol, Cebu, Siquijor, Negros Oriental, Negros Occidental, Guimaras, Iloilo, Capiz, Aklan, and Antique
Dinagat Islands, Surigao del Norte, Surigao del Sur, Agusan del Norte, Agusan del Sur, Misamis Oriental, and Camiguin

The public and the disaster risk reduction and management council concerned are advised to take appropriate actions and watch for the next Severe Weather Bulletin to be issued at 11 PM today.

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Below are previous bulletins.
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SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN #9
FOR:Tropical Depression “#SamuelPH”
Tropical Cyclone: WARNING

Issued at 08:00 am, 20 November 2018

TROPICAL DEPRESSION “SAMUEL” HAS MAINTAINED ITS STRENGTH AS IT MOVES CLOSER TOWARD THE DINAGAT-SAMAR-LEYTE AREA.

• Moderate to heavy rains which may trigger flooding and landslides, are expected over Visayas, Bicol Region and the provinces of Marinduque, Romblon, Surigao del Norte and Dinagat Islands. Residents of these areas, especially those living near or in river channels, low-lying and mountainous areas, are advised to take precautionary measures, coordinate with local disaster risk reduction and management offices, and continue monitoring for updates.
• Fisherfolks and those with small seacrafts are advised not to venture out over the areas under TCWS #1 and the eastern seaboard of Southern Luzon.
• “SAMUEL” is expected to make landfall over the Dinagat-Samar-Leyte area tonight.

Location of eye/center: At 7:00 AM today, the center of Tropical Depression “SAMUEL” was estimated based on all available data at 350 km East of Surigao City, Surigao del Norte (09.8 °N, 128.7 °E )
Strength: Maximum sustained winds of 55 kph near the center and gustiness of up to 65 kph
Forecast Movement: Moving West Northwest at 20 kph

Forecast Positions:
• 24 Hour(Tomorrow morning): In the vicinity of Mactan City, Cebu(10.5°N, 124.°E)
• 48 Hour(Thursday morning):160 km Northwest of Puerto Princesa City, Palawan(10.9°N, 117.9°E)
• 72 Hour(Friday morning): 610 km West Northwest of Puerto Princesa City, Palawan (OUTSIDE PAR)(11.3°N, 113.4°E)
• 96 Hour(Saturday morning):925 km West of Puerto Princesa City, Palawan (OUTSIDE PAR)(11.1°N, 110.4°E)

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING SIGNAL Areas
TCWS#1 (30-60kph expected in 36 hrs)

Masbate incl. Ticao Island, Romblon, southern Oriental Mindoro, southern Occidental Mindoro, Northern Palawan incl. Cuyo Island and Calamian Group of Islands, Northern Samar, Eastern Samar, Samar, Biliran, Leyte, Southern Leyte, Bohol, Cebu, Siquijor, Negros Oriental, Negros Occidental, Guimaras, Iloilo, Capiz, Aklan, Antique, Dinagat Islands, Surigao del Norte, Surigao del Sur, Agusan del Norte, Agusan del Sur, Misamis Oriental, and Camiguin

The public and the disaster risk reduction and management council concerned are advised to take appropriate actions and watch for the next Severe Weather Bulletin to be issued at 11 AM today.

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Below are previous bulletins.
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SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN #6
FOR:Tropical Depression “#SamuelPH”
Tropical Cyclone: WARNING
ISSUED AT:11:00 PM, 19 November 2018

TROPICAL DEPRESSION “SAMUEL” HAS MAINTAINED ITS STRENGTH AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD.

. Possible raising of Tropical Cyclone Warning Signal (TCWS) #1 over Romblon and Cuyo Island in the next severe weather bulletin.
. Moderate to heavy rains which may trigger flooding and landslides is expected over Caraga Region, Northern Mindanao, Eastern Visayas, Central Visayas, and the provinces of Negros Occidental, Davao Oriental and Compostela Valley. Residents of these areas, especially those living near or in river channels, low-lying and mountainous areas, are advised to take precautionary measures, coordinate with local disaster risk reduction and management offices, and continue monitoring for updates.
. Fisherfolks and those with small seacrafts are advised not to venture out over the areas under TCWS #1 and the eastern and southern seaboards of Mindanao.
. “SAMUEL” is expected to make landfall over the Eastern Visayas-Caraga area tomorrow evening.

Location of eye/center: At 10:00 PM today, the center of Tropical Depression “SAMUEL” was estimated based on all available data at 410 km East Northeast of Hinatuan, Surigao del Sur (09.1 °N, 130.0 °E)
Strength: Maximum sustained winds of 55 km/h near the center and gustiness of up to 65 km/h
Forecast Movement: Moving West Northwest at 20 km/h

Forecast Positions:
. 24 Hour(Tomorrow evening): 50 km South Southeast of Guiuan, Eastern Samar(10.6°N, 125.9°E)
. 48 Hour(Wednesday evening):60 km West Northwest of Cuyo, Palawan(11.0°N, 120.5°E)
. 72 Hour(Thursday evening): 450 km West Northwest of Puerto Princesa City, Palawan(11.4°N, 115.0°E)
. 96 Hour(Friday evening):800 km West Northwest of Puerto Princesa City, Palawan (OUTSIDE PAR)(11.3°N, 111.6°E)

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING SIGNAL Areas
TCWS#1
Masbate incl. Ticao Island Northern Samar, Samar, Eastern Samar, Biliran, Leyte, Southern Leyte, Bohol, Cebu, Siquijor, Negros Oriental, Negros Occidental, Aklan, Capiz, Antique, Iloilo and Guimaras Surigao del Norte, Surigao del Sur, Agusan del Norte, Agusan del Sur, Dinagat Islands, Misamis Oriental, and Camiguin ->Very light or no damage to high risk structures,

The public and the disaster risk reduction and management council concerned are advised to take appropriate actions and watch for the next Severe Weather Bulletin to be issued at 2 AM tomorrow.