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Category 2 Typhoon Yolanda aka Haiyan (international name) is rapidly intensifying as it steams west-northwest at 17 mph towards the Philippine Islands. Satellite loops show that Yolanda is a large and steadily organizing typhoon, with plenty of intense thunderstorms that are developing very cold cloud tops as they push high into the atmosphere. With warm waters that extend to great depth, low wind shear, and excellent upper-level outflow, there is nothing to keep Haiyan from growing into a 150 mph super typhoon by Thursday, and it may have a chance at becoming Earth’s fifth Category 5 storm of 2013. Both the GFS and European models predict that Haiyan will hit the central Philippines between 3 – 6 UTC on Friday, and Yolanda will likely be the most dangerous tropical cyclone to affect the Philippines this year. This is particularly true since Tropical Depression Thirty dumped heavy rains over the central Philippines Monday, which helped saturate the soils. This morning’s 06Z run of the HWRF model (Figure 2) predicted that Yolanda would hit the Philippines as a Category 3 storm, bringing a 200-mile wide swath of 4 – 8 inches of rain.
Satellite image from NOAA:
Last Updated: 11/05/2013, 18:00:00 (CST)
Wind: 150 MPH
Location: 7.4N 220.4E
Super Typhoon Yolanda Tracking
PAGASA Weather Advisory No. 2
For: Typhoon (“HAIYAN”)
Issued at: 10:30 AM, 06 November 2013
The eye of the Typhoon (“HAIYAN”) over the Pacific Ocean was located at 1,411 km East of Mindanao (7.4°N 139.1°E) with maximum sustained winds of 150 kph and gustiness of up to 185 kph. It is forecast to move West Northwest at 30 kph. This weather disturbance is expected to enter The Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) tomorrow early morning (November 7). It is expected to make landfall over Samar-Leyte Provinces by Friday (Between 11am-1pm, November 8) and to exit The Philippine Area of Responsibility by Sunday Early Morning (November 10).
The next update on this weather disturbance will be incorporated on the regular issuance of public weather forecast at 5:00 pm today.
Update: 11/06/2013, 06:00:00 (CST)
Wind: 160 MPH
Location: 7.9N 223.8E
Typhoon “Yolanda” in the Philippines became a Category 5 storm with 160 mph winds at 12 UTC (7 am EDT) Wednesday. Yolanda is the fourth Category 5 storm in the Western Pacific and fifth on Earth so far in 2013.
Typhoon Yolanda Tracking Update
November 7, 2013
Thursday, 3 AM
Max Wind: 175 MPH
Update: As of 6:00 a.m. Thursday, Pagasa located Yolanda at 767 kilometers (km) east of Hinatuan, Surigao Del Sur.
Pagasa has hoisted public storm warning signal number 2 over Eastern Samar, Samar, Southern Leyte, Surigao Del Norte, Siargao Island, Dinagat Island, northern part of Surigao Del Sur, and northern part of Agusan Del Norte. Winds of 60 to 100 kph may be expected in at least 24 hours in these areas.
Placed under signal number 1 are Camarines Norte, Camarines Sur, Catanduanes, Albay, Sorsogon Ticao Island, Burias Island, Masbate, Romblon, Marinduque, Southern Quezon, Aklan, Capiz, Iloilo, Antique, Guimaras, Negros Occidental, Negros Oriental, Cebu, Camotes Island, Bohol, Siquijor, Leyte, Biliran Island, Northern Samar, Camaguin, Misamis Oriental, and Agusan del Sur.
PAGASA Update Issued at 5:00 a.m., Thursday, 07 November 2013
PAGASA Update Issued at 11:00 a.m., Thursday, 07 November 2013
PAGASA Update Issued at 8:00 p.m., Thursday, 07 November 2013 . Residents in low lying and mountainous areas under signal #4, #3,#2 & #1 are alerted against possible flashfloods and landslides. Likewise, those living in coastal areas under signal #3 and #2 are alerted against storm surges which may reach up to 7-meter wave height.
PAGASA Update Issued at 11:00 p.m., Thursday, 07 November 2013 Typhoon “YOLANDA” has maintained its course and intensity and continues to threaten Eastern Visayas.
PAGASA Update Issued at 5:00 a.m., Friday, 08 November 2013. Typhoon “YOLANDA” has made landfall over Guiuan, Eastern Samar. Maximum sustained winds of 235 kph near the center and
gustiness of up to 275 kph.
PAGASA Update Issued at 11:00 a.m., Friday, 08 November 2013. Typhoon “YOLANDA” has made third landfall over Daang Bantayan, Cebu.
PAGASA Update Issued at 5:00 p.m., Friday, 08 November 2013 . Typhoon “YOLANDA” has maintained its strength as it approach the Calamian group of islands. “YOLANDA” is now traversing Sulu Sea and expected to cross Calamian Group of Island between 8:00 – 9:00 pm then will exit the Philippine landmass this evening towards the West Philippine Sea.
PAGASA Update Issued at 11:00 p.m., Friday, 08 November 2013. Typhoon “YOLANDA” has slightly weakened as it moves towards West Philippine Sea. Public Warning Signal elsewhere are now lowered.
Update: Satellite Picture at 4:30 a.m., 09 November 2013
PAGASA Update Issued at 5:00 a.m., Saturday, 09 November 2013. Typhoon “YOLANDA” has weakened while traversing the West Philippine Sea. Saturday afternoon forecast: 760 km West Northwest of San Jose, Occidental Mindoro or outside the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR).
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